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âBuy here⦠sell hereâ: This chart says commodities have never been this cheap vs. stocks
âBuy here⦠sell here⦠itâs that simple.â
Those arenât just famous last words, they are also what the Daily Reckoning blogâs Jody Chutley used to describe this chart:
The chart compares the valuation of the S&P Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GSCI) with the S&P 500
and itâs telling us that commodities have never been this inexpensive relative to the broader market.
âHistorically, any time the ratio has gotten this low, the commodity index has bounced back very sharply,â he wrote, adding that where the ratio currently sits is reminiscent of the dot-com bubble... right before it burst.

So whatâs the play if that ratio starts to climb, as Chudley expects? He said the answer lies in the composition of the GSCI, which is made up of a diversified basket of 24 different commodities, including energy products, industrial metals, agricultural products, livestock products and two precious metals. The weighting of each commodity shifts each year, energy takes up almost 60%. Bitcoin Vs Dollar Over Time , energy takes up almost 60%.
âWhile I have no doubt that almost all of these commodities are worthy of closer inspection, I canât help but point out the fact that this screaming buy signal is more narrowly screaming, BUY ENERGY,â he wrote in
Chudley says that a âsignificant riskâ of a top in the market should have investors hesitant about buying into popular momentum stocks like Amazon
 , Bitcoin Vs Dollar Over Time
 , Microsoft
 and Netflix
 ,
 Bitcoin Vs Dollar Over Time
âThere are opportunities outside of these big expensive companies,â he said. âEnergy and commodities in general definitely fit that bill.â

including the iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
Bitcoin Vs Dollar Over Time , including the iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
 .But for a more focused play, Chudley suggests investors take a look at aâvery much off-the-radarâ oil
producer from Canada, Cardinal Energy
âWith a sensible balance sheet and juicy yield, Cardinal Energy would be a good start towards positioning your portfolio to take advantage of the current opportunity that the GSCI chart is screaming about,â he wrote.
Shawn Langlois is an editor and writer for MarketWatch in Los Angeles. Follow him on Twitter @slangwise.
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